{"id":18003,"date":"2021-10-05T17:37:50","date_gmt":"2021-10-05T17:37:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/?p=18003"},"modified":"2021-10-05T17:37:50","modified_gmt":"2021-10-05T17:37:50","slug":"vysoke-ceny-ropy-plynu-zostanu-vek-hojnosti-fosilnych-paliv-je-mrtvy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/vysoke-ceny-ropy-plynu-zostanu-vek-hojnosti-fosilnych-paliv-je-mrtvy\/","title":{"rendered":"Vysok\u00e9 ceny ropy, plynu zostan\u00fa, Vo\u013en\u00e1 energia, Vek fos\u00edlnych pal\u00edv je m\u0155tvy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Vysok\u00e9 ceny ropy, uhlia, plynu zostan\u00fa lebo vek hojnosti fos\u00edlnych pal\u00edv je m\u0155tvy. Klesaj\u00face invest\u00edcie do \u0165a\u017eby, vo\u013en\u00e1 energia. Posledn\u00e9 pol desa\u0165ro\u010die malo operat\u00edvne slovo v energetickom sektore \u201ehojnos\u0165\u201c. Odvetvie, ktor\u00e9 sa dlho sna\u017eilo racionalizova\u0165 v\u00fdrobu fos\u00edlnych pal\u00edv, aby udr\u017ealo vysok\u00e9 ceny, sa zrazu ocitlo zaplaven\u00e9 prebyto\u010dn\u00fdm z\u00e1sobovan\u00edm, preto\u017ee americk\u00fd bridlicov\u00fd boom zn\u00ed\u017eil cenu ropy na celom svete a zdroje \u010distej energie, ako s\u00fa vetern\u00e9 a sol\u00e1rne, konkurovali in\u00e9 paliv\u00e1 pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 na v\u00fdrobu energie, ako je uhlie a zemn\u00fd plyn.<\/p>\n

Vysok\u00e9 ceny ropy, plynu zostan\u00fa, Vek hojnosti fos\u00edlnych pal\u00edv je m\u0155tvy<\/h1>\n
\n

Habsburgovsk\u00fdm Ma\u010farom sa budeme smia\u0165, \u017ee ich Rusk\u00ed Habsburgovci a Rotshildovci prin\u00fatili podp\u00edsa\u0165 iba kv\u00f4li Ukrajine dohodu na 15 rokov. Ale bud\u00fa mo\u017eno posiela\u0165 plyn na Felvid\u00e9k \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n

Golfsk\u00fd pr\u00fad sa men\u00ed, tak by malo fu\u010da\u0165 len tak\u00fd fukot. To\u013eko vetern\u00fdch dni, ko\u013eko bolo tohto roku si d\u00e1vno nepam\u00e4t\u00e1m! Ako to, \u017ee vraj vetern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rne nemaj\u00fa vietor??<\/p>\n

Najnov\u0161\u00ed \u0161ok pre \u010d\u00ednsku ekonomiku: nedostatok energie. V posledn\u00fdch t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148och do\u0161lo najmenej k 19 provinci\u00e1m k preru\u0161eniu dod\u00e1vok elektriny
\n\"<\/p>\n

\n

V posledn\u00fdch t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148och v\u0161ak pozornos\u0165 sveta p\u00fata sk\u00f4r nedostatok energie, ako jej nadbytok. Na povrchu s\u00fa jeho prejavy v\u00e4\u010d\u0161inou nes\u00favisiace. Britsk\u00ed zm\u00e4ten\u00ed motoristi trpia nedostatkom vodi\u010dov n\u00e1kladn\u00fdch automobilov, ktor\u00ed by im dod\u00e1vali benz\u00edn. Obmedzenie dod\u00e1vok elektriny v niektor\u00fdch \u010dastiach \u010c\u00edny \u010diasto\u010dne vypl\u00fdva z pokusov krajiny obmedzi\u0165 emisie. Klesaj\u00face z\u00e1soby uhlia v elektr\u00e1r\u0148ach v Indii s\u00favisia s prudk\u00fdm n\u00e1rastom cien dovozu tejto komodity.<\/p>\n

O\u010dak\u00e1va sa v\u0161ak, \u017ee v nasleduj\u00facich rokoch bude nedostatok e\u0161te z\u00e1va\u017enej\u0161\u00ed: prepad invest\u00edci\u00ed do ropn\u00fdch vrtov, uzlov zemn\u00e9ho plynu a uho\u013en\u00fdch ban\u00ed. Je to \u010diasto\u010dne kocovina z obdobia hojnosti, pri\u010dom roky nadmern\u00fdch invest\u00edci\u00ed ved\u00fa k v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ej kapit\u00e1lovej discipl\u00edne. Je to tie\u017e v\u00fdsledok rast\u00faceho tlaku na dekarboniz\u00e1ciu. <\/p>\n

Tento rok je nedostatok invest\u00edci\u00ed jedn\u00fdm z hlavn\u00fdch d\u00f4vodov, pre\u010do ceny v\u0161etk\u00fdch troch energetick\u00fdch komod\u00edt prudko vzr\u00e1stli.<\/p>\n

Po Organiz\u00e1cii kraj\u00edn vyv\u00e1\u017eaj\u00facich ropu (OPEC) ropa prekro\u010dila 81 dol\u00e1rov za barel a spojenci ako Rusko, ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa s\u00fa\u010das\u0165ou aliancie OPEC+, na stretnut\u00ed 4. okt\u00f3bra odolali v\u00fdzvam na zv\u00fd\u0161enie produkcie.<\/p>\n

Potenci\u00e1lne infla\u010dn\u00e9 otrasy nebud\u00fa dobr\u00e9 pre svet, ktor\u00fd st\u00e1le z\u00edskava v\u00e4\u010d\u0161inu energie z fos\u00edlnych pal\u00edv. Ale m\u00f4\u017ee to aspo\u0148 ur\u00fdchli\u0165 prechod na ekologickej\u0161ie a lacnej\u0161ie zdroje energie. <\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Vo\u013en\u00e1 energia je v\u0161ade okolo n\u00e1s<\/h1>\n

Za\u010dnite ropou, odvetv\u00edm, ktor\u00e9 potrebuje neust\u00e1le reinvest\u00edcie, aby zostalo st\u00e1\u0165. Pravidlom je, \u017ee ropn\u00e9 spolo\u010dnosti by mali ka\u017edoro\u010dne vy\u010dleni\u0165 asi \u0161tyri p\u00e4tiny svojich kapit\u00e1lov\u00fdch v\u00fddavkov, aby zastavili vy\u010derpanie svojich z\u00e1sob. Napriek tomu ro\u010dn\u00fd priemyseln\u00fd kapit\u00e1l klesol zo 750 mili\u00e1rd dol\u00e1rov v roku 2014 (ke\u010f ceny ropy presiahli 100 dol\u00e1rov za barel) na odhadovan\u00fdch 350 mili\u00e1rd dol\u00e1rov v tomto roku, predpoklad\u00e1 Saad Rahim z Trafigury, ve\u013ek\u00e9ho obchodn\u00edka s komoditami. <\/p>\n

Banka Goldman Sachs hovor\u00ed, \u017ee za rovnak\u00e9 obdobie klesol po\u010det rokov s\u00fa\u010dasnej v\u00fdroby dr\u017eanej v rezerv\u00e1ch v niektor\u00fdch z najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edch svetov\u00fdch projektov z 50 na zhruba 25. Minul\u00fd rok sa do\u010dasne zabr\u00e1nilo dod\u00e1vkam, preto\u017ee Pand\u00e9mia covid-19 obmedzila dopyt po rope. Akon\u00e1hle sa v\u0161ak svetov\u00e1 ekonomika za\u010dala zotavova\u0165, priemysel by obvykle reagoval na siln\u00fd dopyt a vy\u0161\u0161ie ceny investovan\u00edm do \u0165a\u017eby v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ieho mno\u017estva ropy. <\/p>\n

V \u00e9re dekarboniz\u00e1cie je to v\u0161ak \u0165a\u017e\u0161ie. Investori na za\u010diatku tla\u010dia na ve\u013ek\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 spolo\u010dnosti v s\u00fakromnom sektore, ako s\u00fa ExxonMobil a Royal Dutch Shell, aby s invest\u00edciami do ropy a zemn\u00e9ho plynu zaobch\u00e1dzali ako s t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148ov\u00fdmi rybami. Je to bu\u010f preto, \u017ee ich akcion\u00e1ri po\u010d\u00edtaj\u00fa s t\u00fdm, \u017ee dopyt po rope nakoniec dosiahne vrchol, \u010d\u00edm sa dlhodob\u00e9 projekty stan\u00fa neekonomick\u00fdmi, alebo preto, \u017ee rad\u0161ej dr\u017eia podiely v spolo\u010dnostiach, ktor\u00e9 podporuj\u00fa prechod na \u010dist\u00fa energiu. <\/p>\n

Napriek tomu, \u017ee ceny rast\u00fa, invest\u00edcie do ropy sa pravdepodobne neopakuj\u00fa.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Ekon\u00f3mpresk\u00famali progn\u00f3zy kapit\u00e1lov\u00fdch v\u00fddavkov pre 250 najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edch svetov\u00fdch producentov komod\u00edt v roku 2022 v porovnan\u00ed s rokom 2019. Zatia\u013e \u010do ban\u00edci a po\u013enohospod\u00e1rske firmy predpovedaj\u00fa ve\u013ek\u00fd n\u00e1rast kapit\u00e1lov\u00fdch invest\u00edci\u00ed, o\u010dak\u00e1va sa, \u017ee invest\u00edcie do energetiky klesn\u00fa o \u010fal\u0161\u00edch 9%. Ropn\u00e9 firmy namiesto toho vracaj\u00fa akcion\u00e1rom prebyto\u010dn\u00fa hotovos\u0165.<\/p>\n

\u010eal\u0161\u00edm faktorom brzdiacim invest\u00edcie do ropy je spr\u00e1vanie sa kraj\u00edn OPEC+. Pol dek\u00e1da relat\u00edvne n\u00edzkych cien po\u010das \u201eveku hojnosti\u201c, ktor\u00e1 dosiahla svoje najni\u017e\u0161ie hodnoty cenov\u00fdm kolapsom na za\u010diatku pandemickej, zni\u010denej \u0161t\u00e1tnej kasy. To zn\u00ed\u017eilo financovanie invest\u00edci\u00ed. Ako sa ceny zotavuj\u00fa, prioritou vl\u00e1d nie je roz\u0161\u00edri\u0165 kapacitu \u0165a\u017eby ropy, ale podpori\u0165 n\u00e1rodn\u00e9 rozpo\u010dty. <\/p>\n

\u0160t\u00e1tni v\u00fdrobcovia s\u00fa navy\u0161e opatrn\u00ed a ob\u00e1vaj\u00fa sa, \u017ee nov\u00e9 vzplanutie pr\u00edpadov covid-19 by mohlo op\u00e4\u0165 zasiahnu\u0165 dopyt. A ako hovor\u00ed investi\u010dn\u00e1 spolo\u010dnos\u0165 Oswald Clint z Bernsteinu, mnoh\u00ed si klad\u00fa ot\u00e1zku: \u201ePre\u010do sa na chv\u00ed\u013eu nenecha\u0165 na vysokej cene?\u201c V ka\u017edom pr\u00edpade, aj ke\u010f by zhroma\u017edenie nakoniec malo in\u0161pirova\u0165 invest\u00edcie, trvalo by nieko\u013eko rokov, k\u00fdm by sa zmysluplne zv\u00fd\u0161il v\u00fdkon.<\/p>\n

Ni\u017e\u0161ie invest\u00edcie do ropy maj\u00fa vplyv na produkciu zemn\u00e9ho plynu, ktor\u00fd je \u010dasto ved\u013eaj\u0161\u00edm produktom \u0165a\u017eby ropy. K tomu sa prid\u00e1va nedostatok termin\u00e1lov na skvapalnen\u00fd zemn\u00fd plyn (LNG) na prepravu plynu z miest, kde je relat\u00edvne \u013eahk\u00fd pr\u00edstup (Amerika), do miest, kde je ho m\u00e1lo (\u00c1zia a Eur\u00f3pa). Vzh\u013eadom na dlh\u00fd \u010das potrebn\u00fd na v\u00fdstavbu zariaden\u00ed sa o\u010dak\u00e1va, \u017ee nedostatok vo\u013enej koncovej kapacity v Amerike potrv\u00e1 najmenej do roku 2025.<\/p>\n

Invest\u00edcie do energetick\u00e9ho uhlia s\u00fa najslab\u0161ie zo v\u0161etk\u00fdch. Aj v \u010c\u00edne a Indii, ktor\u00e9 maj\u00fa ve\u013ek\u00e9 potrubia nov\u00fdch uho\u013en\u00fdch elektr\u00e1rn\u00ed, sa n\u00e1lada zmenila proti naj\u0161pinav\u0161iemu fos\u00edlnemu palivu. Napriek tomu, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna potenci\u00e1lne smeruje do chladnej zimy a India z\u00e1pas\u00ed so z\u00e1sobami, m\u00f4\u017ee sa dosta\u0165 do posledn\u00e9ho hur\u00e1.<\/p>\n

To v\u0161etko stavia v\u00fdrobcov fos\u00edlnych pal\u00edv do akejsi tiesne. Pokles invest\u00edci\u00ed by mohol umo\u017eni\u0165 niektor\u00fdm investorom do ropy, plynu a uhlia, aby sa zorientovali ako banditi.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edm dlh\u0161ie v\u0161ak ceny zostan\u00fa vysoko, t\u00fdm je v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ia pravdepodobnos\u0165, \u017ee prechod na \u010dist\u00fa energiu v kone\u010dnom d\u00f4sledku pochov\u00e1 priemysel fos\u00edlnych pal\u00edv.<\/p>\n

Spotrebitelia sa medzit\u00fdm musia vyrovna\u0165 s \u010fal\u0161\u00edm nedostatkom. Vek hojnosti je m\u0155tvy.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\n

Rozumiete t\u00fdmto vet\u00e1m?? Ak nie tak si pre\u010d\u00edtajte aj 1488x \ud83d\ude42 <\/p>\n

Vek hojnosti bude m\u0159tvy, k\u00fdm nepr\u00eddu technol\u00f3gie vo\u013enej energie.<\/p>\n

Support Your Local Free Energy, Certainly in Three-Four Years<\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vysok\u00e9 ceny ropy, uhlia, plynu zostan\u00fa lebo vek hojnosti fos\u00edlnych pal\u00edv je m\u0155tvy. Klesaj\u00face invest\u00edcie do \u0165a\u017eby, vo\u013en\u00e1 energia. Posledn\u00e9 pol desa\u0165ro\u010die malo operat\u00edvne slovo v energetickom sektore \u201ehojnos\u0165\u201c. Odvetvie, ktor\u00e9 sa dlho sna\u017eilo racionalizova\u0165 v\u00fdrobu fos\u00edlnych pal\u00edv, aby udr\u017ealo vysok\u00e9 ceny, sa zrazu ocitlo zaplaven\u00e9 prebyto\u010dn\u00fdm z\u00e1sobovan\u00edm, preto\u017ee americk\u00fd bridlicov\u00fd boom zn\u00ed\u017eil cenu ropy […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18003","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-exo-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18003","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18003"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18003\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18003"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18003"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18003"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}