V\u00fdbuchy Nord Streamu s\u00fa Putinov\u00fdm varovn\u00fdm v\u00fdstrelom pre Z\u00e1pad. Zatia\u013e \u010do Ukrajinci ved\u00fa konven\u010dn\u00fa vojnu na vlastnom \u00fazem\u00ed, Rusko a Z\u00e1pad ved\u00fa nekonven\u010dn\u00fa vojnu, ktor\u00fa vedie ekonomick\u00fd tlak, politick\u00e9 \u00faskoky a \u0161pinav\u00e9 triky. Zd\u00e1 sa, \u017ee zdanliv\u00e1 sabot\u00e1\u017e plynovodov Nord Stream je len najnov\u0161\u00edm pr\u00edkladom.<\/p>\n
Obe tieto l\u00ednie sp\u00e1jaj\u00face Rusko s Nemeckom vyvolali ni\u010div\u00e9 \u00faniky. Pr\u00ed\u010dinou bola pod\u013ea seizmologick\u00fdch \u00fadajov s\u00e9ria v\u00fdbuchov pri d\u00e1nskom ostrove Bornholm, pr\u00edli\u0161 nasmerovan\u00fdch a pr\u00edli\u0161 synchronizovan\u00fdch na to, aby i\u0161lo o ak\u00fako\u013evek nehodu.<\/p>\n
V Rusku s\u00fa tak\u00ed, ktor\u00ed celkom predv\u00eddate\u013ene obvi\u0148uj\u00fa Ukrajincov. Vzh\u013eadom na to, \u017ee Rusi vzali svoju posledn\u00fa funk\u010dn\u00fa ponorku v roku 2014, je to nepravdepodobn\u00e9 aj pod\u013ea ich \u0161tandardov.<\/p>\n
Zatia\u013e \u010do niektor\u00ed namiesto toho vidia americk\u00e9 sprisahanie za \u00fanikmi inform\u00e1ci\u00ed, najd\u00f4veryhodnej\u0161ou odpove\u010fou nateraz je, \u017ee Rusi ni\u010d nehovoria. Ale pre\u010do sabotova\u0165 ich vlastn\u00e9 potrubia, najm\u00e4 ke\u010f ani jeden v tom \u010dase ne\u010derpal energiu do Eur\u00f3py?<\/p>\n
Odpove\u010f bude pravdepodobne ako varovanie. Ak chcete signalizova\u0165, \u017ee v pr\u00edpade eskal\u00e1cie by ste mohli pova\u017eova\u0165 zahrani\u010dn\u00e9 potrubia a in\u00e9 podmorsk\u00e9 akt\u00edva za f\u00e9rov\u00fa hru \u2013 a podvodn\u00e9 k\u00e1ble, ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa tepnami glob\u00e1lneho internetu, s\u00fa tu o\u010dividn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mom \u2013 potom je bezpe\u010dnej\u0161ou mo\u017enos\u0165ou zasiahnu\u0165 tvoj vlastn\u00fd. <\/p>\n
Ursula von der Leyen si odd\u00fdchla od v\u00fdslovn\u00e9ho vyhr\u00e1\u017eania sa Talianom k \u200b\u200bimplicitn\u00e9mu vyhr\u00e1\u017eaniu sa Rusom, pri\u010dom varovala, \u017ee ak\u00e9ko\u013evek \u00famyseln\u00e9 naru\u0161enie eur\u00f3pskej energetickej infra\u0161trukt\u00fary by sa stretlo s \u201enajsilnej\u0161ou mo\u017enou reakciou\u201c. Je v\u0161ak \u0165a\u017e\u0161ie seri\u00f3zne reagova\u0165, ke\u010f infra\u0161trukt\u00fara nie je va\u0161a, nepou\u017e\u00edva sa a nie je pravdepodobn\u00e9, \u017ee sa v bud\u00facnosti pou\u017eije.<\/p>\n
Koniec koncov, existuj\u00fa aj in\u00e9 ropovody, na ktor\u00e9 by sa rusk\u00e9 ponorky alebo n\u00e1morn\u00ed oper\u00e1tori (\u0161peci\u00e1lne jednotky) mohli zamera\u0165, v neposlednom rade nov\u00fd baltsk\u00fd plynovod z N\u00f3rska do Po\u013eska, ktor\u00fd je k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fdm prvkom v snah\u00e1ch Var\u0161avy o diverzifik\u00e1ciu dod\u00e1vok. Sotva m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 n\u00e1hoda, \u017ee sa to stalo tesne pred otvoren\u00edm Baltic Pipe.<\/p>\n
Ako u\u017e bolo spomenut\u00e9, \u010fal\u0161\u00edm zjavn\u00fdm cie\u013eom s\u00fa podvodn\u00e9 internetov\u00e9 k\u00e1ble, ktor\u00e9 sa predieraj\u00fa pod svetov\u00fdmi moriami a oce\u00e1nmi. Je takmer nemo\u017en\u00e9 \u201epreru\u0161i\u0165\u201c internet vzh\u013eadom na sp\u00f4sob, ak\u00fdm mo\u017eno \u00fadaje smerova\u0165 alternat\u00edvnymi prostriedkami. Naru\u0161enie, ktor\u00e9 by mohlo vznikn\u00fa\u0165, aj ke\u010f do\u010dasn\u00e9, by v\u0161ak malo zna\u010dn\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 dopady a potenci\u00e1lne e\u0161te v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ie politick\u00e9. <\/p>\n
Stali sme sa z\u00e1visl\u00fdmi na r\u00fdchlej a ve\u013ekorysej konektivite, od s\u0165ahovania filmov a\u017e po hlasov\u00e9 hovory. Ak\u00e9ko\u013evek preru\u0161enia by priniesli u\u017e aj tak niekedy rozkol\u00edsan\u00fdm z\u00e1padn\u00fdm voli\u010dom nebezpe\u010denstvo dlhodob\u00fdch nepriate\u013esk\u00fdch akci\u00ed s Ruskom ove\u013ea lep\u0161ie ako \u010fal\u0161\u00ed Putinov prejav.<\/p>\n
Samozrejme, ak konflikt eskaluje na t\u00fato \u00farove\u0148, potom m\u00f4\u017eu do hry vst\u00fapi\u0165 aj in\u00e9 ciele. V roku 2014 d\u00f4stojn\u00edci ruskej vojenskej rozviedky GRU nastra\u017eili v\u00fdbu\u0161niny v zbrojnom sklade vo Vrbeticiach v \u010ceskej republike, aby zmarili obchodn\u00fa dohodu o z\u00e1sobovan\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch s\u00edl. Jedn\u00fdm zo psov, ktor\u00fd v t\u00fato geopolitick\u00fa noc e\u0161te ne\u0161tekol, boli podobn\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 oper\u00e1cie proti z\u00e1sobovac\u00edm l\u00edni\u00e1m, ktor\u00e9 na Ukrajinu priv\u00e1\u017eali z\u00e1padn\u00e9 zbrane a mun\u00edciu, no aj to zost\u00e1va mo\u017enos\u0165ou.<\/p>\n
Existuje tie\u017e ove\u013ea v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed priestor pre rusk\u00e9 kybernetick\u00e9 \u00fatoky na z\u00e1padn\u00fa kritick\u00fa n\u00e1rodn\u00fa infra\u0161trukt\u00faru. Pr\u00edprava si vy\u017eaduje \u010das \u2013 ale Moskva mala presne sedem mesiacov na to, aby pripravila svoje online mo\u017enosti.<\/p>\n
Samozrejme, ni\u010d z toho nie je ist\u00e9. Ani Z\u00e1pad nem\u00e1 svoj vlastn\u00fd odstra\u0161uj\u00faci arzen\u00e1l, od kybernetick\u00fdch \u00fatokov a\u017e po priamej\u0161ie skryt\u00e9 neplechu. <\/p>\n
KGB\u00e1k sa doteraz dr\u017eal sp\u00e4\u0165 jednak preto, \u017ee sa nechcel dosta\u0165 do tohto druhu konfliktu \u201e\u0161edej z\u00f3ny\u201c, ktor\u00e9ho rizik\u00e1 s\u00fa pre neho rovnako nepredv\u00eddate\u013en\u00e9, ale aj preto, aby si nie\u010do udr\u017eal v z\u00e1sobe, ak by mal pocit, \u017ee mus\u00ed eskalova\u0165.<\/p>\n
Napriek tomu, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e9 sily pokra\u010duj\u00fa v tla\u010den\u00ed na okupovan\u00e9 \u00fazemia a odhodlanie Z\u00e1padu je silnej\u0161ie, ne\u017e o\u010dak\u00e1val, m\u00f4\u017ee ma\u0165 pocit, \u017ee mus\u00ed nie\u010do urobi\u0165, aby zmenil aritmetiku politickej vojny, rovnako ako d\u00fafa, \u017ee jeho mobiliz\u00e1cia to dok\u00e1\u017ee. zvr\u00e1ti\u0165 v\u00fdvoj na bojisku. S o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00fdmi anexiami okupovan\u00fdch oblast\u00ed m\u00e1 men\u0161\u00ed man\u00e9vrovac\u00ed priestor ako predt\u00fdm, ke\u010f\u017ee sa sotva chce zap\u00edsa\u0165 do hist\u00f3rie ako c\u00e1r, ktor\u00fd sa vzdal \u201erusk\u00fdch kraj\u00edn\u201c. <\/p>\n
V\u00fdbuchy Nord Streamu s\u00fa v\u00fdstrelom cez na\u0161e luky a on mus\u00ed d\u00fafa\u0165, takmer ur\u010dite m\u00e1rne, \u017ee n\u00e1s to prin\u00fati zmeni\u0165 kurz.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
V\u00fdbuchy Nord Streamu s\u00fa Putinov\u00fdm varovn\u00fdm v\u00fdstrelom pre Z\u00e1pad. Zatia\u013e \u010do Ukrajinci ved\u00fa konven\u010dn\u00fa vojnu na vlastnom \u00fazem\u00ed, Rusko a Z\u00e1pad ved\u00fa nekonven\u010dn\u00fa vojnu, ktor\u00fa vedie ekonomick\u00fd tlak, politick\u00e9 \u00faskoky a \u0161pinav\u00e9 triky. Zd\u00e1 sa, \u017ee zdanliv\u00e1 sabot\u00e1\u017e plynovodov Nord Stream je len najnov\u0161\u00edm pr\u00edkladom. V\u00fdbuchy GRU Nord Streamu s\u00fa Putinov\u00fdm varovn\u00fdm v\u00fdstrelom pre Z\u00e1pad […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27592","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-exo-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27592","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27592"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27592\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27592"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27592"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/extraslovensko.sk\/spravy\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27592"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}